ANNOUNCEMENT : ALL OF ROYAL MAIL'S EMPLOYMENT POLICIES (AGREEMENTS) AT A GLANCE (Updated 2021)... HERE

ANNOUNCEMENT : PLEASE BE AWARE WE ARE NOT ON FACEBOOK AT ALL!

Time to think outside the Box.

Pay talks 2022 discussion, news, LTB's RMCtv and all BUSINESS RECOVERY, TRANSFORMATION AND GROWTH AGREEMENT chat
DirtyHarry
Posts: 5051
Joined: 13 May 2007, 23:16
Gender: Male
Location: London

Re: Time to think outside the Box.

Post by DirtyHarry »

Woody Guthrie wrote:
19 Feb 2023, 16:28
DirtyHarry wrote:
19 Feb 2023, 14:10
They've got past Black Friday, Cyber Monday, and Christmas, without even flinching.
Without flinching?
They lost £200million in cash, shitloads of lucrative contracts, a whole load of regular customers and their reputation is in tatters.

The problem is members still think it's 1995 and the damage strikes do is measured in a backlog of mail, that isn't going to happen even if we strike for two weeks solid.
Yes. They didn't flinch. Hence, why we have to go through more months of this shite.
Had they flinched, they would have made some meaningful concessions. They didn't. So, here we are, again.
postieblueshirt
Posts: 1241
Joined: 01 Oct 2019, 22:05
Gender: Male

Re: Time to think outside the Box.

Post by postieblueshirt »

How do you know we own 9.9% is that up to date info? I and a few others that I know of offloaded them first chance we got bad memories of the share in success scheme being one of the reasons.
milly
MAIL CENTRES/PROCESSING
Posts: 1265
Joined: 14 Sep 2007, 09:43

Re: Time to think outside the Box.

Post by milly »

postieblueshirt wrote:
19 Feb 2023, 17:51
How do you know we own 9.9% is that up to date info? I and a few others that I know of offloaded them first chance we got bad memories of the share in success scheme being one of the reasons.


23.46% Vesa Equity Investment S.à R.L. 221,984,939 £505.2m
5.9 % Royal Mail Plc, Share Incentive Plan 55,844,993 £127.1m
4.2% Royal Mail Plc , Esop 38,058,025 £86.6m

These figures are taken from Simply Wall St.
https://images.simplywall.st/asset/char ... 6830297161
rambo1
EX ROYAL MAIL
Posts: 3266
Joined: 12 Jun 2013, 20:00
Gender: Male

Re: Time to think outside the Box.

Post by rambo1 »

Rough calculation, if tomorrow every CWU member (120,000) bought £180 of shares, our collective holding would go up by just under 1%. That would be about 6 times the average volume of shares traded daily. So yes, it may well move the SP on the day in a northern direction but , There are nowhere near 120000 posties buying shares and if there were, would they be buying £180 worth and for a sustained rise in the SP, we would have to keep that buying pressure up because guess what, if we were raising the price by buying say a grands worth each in a week, there would be a pretty hefty chunk of profit taking to bring it back down again. Share prices aren't not just dependant on buying and selling though, market sentiment is a big deciding factor too.
It's a nice idea but doubtful it would work.
milly
MAIL CENTRES/PROCESSING
Posts: 1265
Joined: 14 Sep 2007, 09:43

Re: Time to think outside the Box.

Post by milly »

rambo1 wrote:
19 Feb 2023, 18:14
Rough calculation, if tomorrow every CWU member (120,000) bought £180 of shares, our collective holding would go up by just under 1%. That would be about 6 times the average volume of shares traded daily. So yes, it may well move the SP on the day in a northern direction but , There are nowhere near 120000 posties buying shares and if there were, would they be buying £180 worth and for a sustained rise in the SP, we would have to keep that buying pressure up because guess what, if we were raising the price by buying say a grands worth each in a week, there would be a pretty hefty chunk of profit taking to bring it back down again. Share prices aren't not just dependant on buying and selling though, market sentiment is a big deciding factor too.
It's a nice idea but doubtful it would work.
Surely if the Markets got wind that Postal Workers were starting to buy up shares then that would change Market sentiment as others piled in.
Any institutions that were Short would also have to buy to cover their Shorts.
rambo1
EX ROYAL MAIL
Posts: 3266
Joined: 12 Jun 2013, 20:00
Gender: Male

Re: Time to think outside the Box.

Post by rambo1 »

Yes, short sellers would have to cover but I go back to the point that there just aren't enough posties with deep enough pockets to budge this share price. Sentiment says we have rubbish top brass in the company , as seen in the parliament enquiry, a militant unionised workforce and are loosing £1mln a day. Who's gonna jump in and invest in that. At best it would be a pump and dump and all the posties that bought into the idea with no idea on shares, would be left sitting on losses.
milly
MAIL CENTRES/PROCESSING
Posts: 1265
Joined: 14 Sep 2007, 09:43

Re: Time to think outside the Box.

Post by milly »

rambo1 wrote:
19 Feb 2023, 18:34
Yes, short sellers would have to cover but I go back to the point that there just aren't enough posties with deep enough pockets to budge this share price. Sentiment says we have rubbish top brass in the company , as seen in the parliament enquiry, a militant unionised workforce and are loosing £1mln a day. Who's gonna jump in and invest in that. At best it would be a pump and dump and all the posties that bought into the idea with no idea on shares, would be left sitting on losses.
Many of us are already nursing losses of nearly 2 grand by going on Strike.
We do have an advantage over Kretinsky in that we can buy Shares at a deep discount through our SIP.
Even if 70000 members bought their full allocation for the year through their SIP we could easily increase our collective holding by 25% this year.
clashcityrocker
Posts: 16614
Joined: 22 Sep 2009, 13:50
Gender: Male
Location: strummerville

Re: Time to think outside the Box.

Post by clashcityrocker »

Given that the basic premise of this argument (that the share price is being deliberately deflated to allow Kretinsky to buy us on the cheap) is nonsense, it follows that the rest of the argument is rubbish.
What is the average price Kretinsky has paid for his shares?
What is the minimum he would he have to offer/share to ensure a takeover?
The societies of consumption and squandering of material resources are incompatible with the idea of economic growth and a clean planet.
milly
MAIL CENTRES/PROCESSING
Posts: 1265
Joined: 14 Sep 2007, 09:43

Re: Time to think outside the Box.

Post by milly »

clashcityrocker wrote:
19 Feb 2023, 18:51
Given that the basic premise of this argument (that the share price is being deliberately deflated to allow Kretinsky to buy us on the cheap) is nonsense, it follows that the rest of the argument is rubbish.
What is the average price Kretinsky has paid for his shares?
What is the minimum he would he have to offer/share to ensure a takeover?
You don't believe it's plausible that this company isn't being run into the ground on purpose?
If it was who benefits?
Our problems must just be caused by inept Management then.

With regard to any takeover I believe it usually costs the buyer a 20-30% premium over the Share price.
I must say that this industrial action has been extremely fortuitous for Mr Kretinsky with regard to keeping the Share price down.
Woody Guthrie
Posts: 5166
Joined: 29 Sep 2018, 20:47
Gender: Male

Re: Time to think outside the Box.

Post by Woody Guthrie »

Another conspiracy theory.

Joy.
Only dead fish follow the current
milly
MAIL CENTRES/PROCESSING
Posts: 1265
Joined: 14 Sep 2007, 09:43

Re: Time to think outside the Box.

Post by milly »

Woody Guthrie wrote:
19 Feb 2023, 19:16
Another conspiracy theory.

Joy.
So conspiracies don't exist?
Billionaires are far too honest to rig things in their favour :thumbup .
rambo1
EX ROYAL MAIL
Posts: 3266
Joined: 12 Jun 2013, 20:00
Gender: Male

Re: Time to think outside the Box.

Post by rambo1 »

milly wrote:
19 Feb 2023, 18:46
rambo1 wrote:
19 Feb 2023, 18:34
Yes, short sellers would have to cover but I go back to the point that there just aren't enough posties with deep enough pockets to budge this share price. Sentiment says we have rubbish top brass in the company , as seen in the parliament enquiry, a militant unionised workforce and are loosing £1mln a day. Who's gonna jump in and invest in that. At best it would be a pump and dump and all the posties that bought into the idea with no idea on shares, would be left sitting on losses.
Many of us are already nursing losses of nearly 2 grand by going on Strike.
We do have an advantage over Kretinsky in that we can buy Shares at a deep discount through our SIP.
Even if 70000 members bought their full allocation for the year through their SIP we could easily increase our collective holding by 25% this year.
25% of 5% is still very small chips in the grand scheme of it.
yellowbelly
Posts: 3709
Joined: 23 Jun 2015, 15:51
Gender: Male

Re: Time to think outside the Box.

Post by yellowbelly »

clashcityrocker wrote:
19 Feb 2023, 18:51
Given that the basic premise of this argument (that the share price is being deliberately deflated to allow Kretinsky to buy us on the cheap) is nonsense, it follows that the rest of the argument is rubbish.
What is the average price Kretinsky has paid for his shares?
What is the minimum he would he have to offer/share to ensure a takeover?
I've seen it mentioned on another thread somewhere that if DK wanted to take over IDS he'd have to
pay the average or some sort of premium to the average share price he's already paid.

I don't think this is true, he could offer peanuts if he wanted https://www.fool.co.uk/investing-basics ... d-mergers/ but am happy for someone to provide the evidence about the average/premium to average priced talked about if I'm wrong.
An organisation called The Takeover Panel ensures The Takeover Code is followed by all parties involved.

However, it is important to understand that neither The Takeover Panel nor Code decide on whether an offered price is fair or whether the deal makes sense for the businesses concerned. That is for the shareholders to decide for themselves.
milly
MAIL CENTRES/PROCESSING
Posts: 1265
Joined: 14 Sep 2007, 09:43

Re: Time to think outside the Box.

Post by milly »

rambo1 wrote:
19 Feb 2023, 19:29
milly wrote:
19 Feb 2023, 18:46
rambo1 wrote:
19 Feb 2023, 18:34
Yes, short sellers would have to cover but I go back to the point that there just aren't enough posties with deep enough pockets to budge this share price. Sentiment says we have rubbish top brass in the company , as seen in the parliament enquiry, a militant unionised workforce and are loosing £1mln a day. Who's gonna jump in and invest in that. At best it would be a pump and dump and all the posties that bought into the idea with no idea on shares, would be left sitting on losses.
Many of us are already nursing losses of nearly 2 grand by going on Strike.
We do have an advantage over Kretinsky in that we can buy Shares at a deep discount through our SIP.
Even if 70000 members bought their full allocation for the year through their SIP we could easily increase our collective holding by 25% this year.
25% of 5% is still very small chips in the grand scheme of it.
We collectively own around 10% of the company already through the Royal Mail SIP (5.9%) and the Royal Mail ESOP (4.9%).
rambo1
EX ROYAL MAIL
Posts: 3266
Joined: 12 Jun 2013, 20:00
Gender: Male

Re: Time to think outside the Box.

Post by rambo1 »

Ok if that's the case then everyone putting max in will increase total holding by 2.5% ish. As we are all individuals though and not one entity I don't see how it would be of any benefit?