That's not always the case, it took the Nikkei 31 years to recover from the 1989 Japanese stockmarket bubble.heapsy wrote: ↑12 Apr 2025, 18:38Correct. As Warren Buffett says "it's time in the market, not timing the market"Hyrrokkin wrote: ↑10 Apr 2025, 18:42I am 100% in the Shariah fund (was going to transfer to HL SIPP but delayed that for a few months)
I have not looked at the fund but no doubt quite a bit down (but still well in profit) but not worried in the slightest - it is what it is and will not be retiring for years anyway.
The key is play the long game and not time the market
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Scary times
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milly
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Re: Scary times
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BELIAL
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Re: Scary times
Forget the market as you know it. It is a busted flush. USA and the dollar are now exposed as bankrupt.
36 trillion dollars in debt, a GDP to debt ratio of 165%. Only goodwill and misplaced loyalty keeping them afloat.
A tsunami sinks all boats.
36 trillion dollars in debt, a GDP to debt ratio of 165%. Only goodwill and misplaced loyalty keeping them afloat.
A tsunami sinks all boats.
Bye
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milly
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Re: Scary times
I've been called a crackpot, tinfoil hat wearing conspiracy theorist Goldbug on these boards for pointing out that the financial system would implode at some point due to the unsustainability of all the debt that has been accrued.
All my detractors seem to have disappeared
I agree wholeheartedly with your assessment.
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heapsy
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Re: Scary times
Hyrrokkin wrote: ↑10 Apr 2025, 18:42I am 100% in the Shariah fund (was going to transfer to HL SIPP but delayed that for a few months)
I have not looked at the fund but no doubt quite a bit down (but still well in profit) but not worried in the slightest - it is what it is and will not be retiring for years anyway.
The key is play the long game and not time the market.
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sweepster70
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Re: Scary times
I have my AVC's in Shariah too, and am also not worried.
With no tariffs on certain tech, the markets will improve. Eventually deals have to be reached.
I have a quite a few years to retirement, so am easy with the situation now.
With no tariffs on certain tech, the markets will improve. Eventually deals have to be reached.
I have a quite a few years to retirement, so am easy with the situation now.
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heapsy
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Re: Scary times
That's "time in the market"milly wrote: ↑12 Apr 2025, 18:53That's not always the case, it took the Nikkei 31 years to recover from the 1989 Japanese stockmarket bubble.heapsy wrote: ↑12 Apr 2025, 18:38Correct. As Warren Buffett says "it's time in the market, not timing the market"Hyrrokkin wrote: ↑10 Apr 2025, 18:42I am 100% in the Shariah fund (was going to transfer to HL SIPP but delayed that for a few months)
I have not looked at the fund but no doubt quite a bit down (but still well in profit) but not worried in the slightest - it is what it is and will not be retiring for years anyway.
The key is play the long game and not time the market
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milly
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Re: Scary times
It depends on how old you are and how close to retirement when a downturn comes around.heapsy wrote: ↑13 Apr 2025, 07:20That's "time in the market"milly wrote: ↑12 Apr 2025, 18:53That's not always the case, it took the Nikkei 31 years to recover from the 1989 Japanese stockmarket bubble.heapsy wrote: ↑12 Apr 2025, 18:38Correct. As Warren Buffett says "it's time in the market, not timing the market"Hyrrokkin wrote: ↑10 Apr 2025, 18:42I am 100% in the Shariah fund (was going to transfer to HL SIPP but delayed that for a few months)
I have not looked at the fund but no doubt quite a bit down (but still well in profit) but not worried in the slightest - it is what it is and will not be retiring for years anyway.
The key is play the long game and not time the market
The main driver of the stockmarkets in the last 17 years or so has been due to cheap credit and QE.
If they continue with that policy then the stockmarket could go up in nominal terms like the stockmarkets of Venezuela and Zimbabwe, but down in real terms, when measured against purchasing power.
Most people struggle with the difference between "real" and "nominal" .They think because number goes up that they are better off, when that's not always the case.
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heapsy
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Re: Scary times
You really are boring the pants off everyone on hear. We know all this, give it a rest. My point was perfectly correct. Time in the market IS correct. Obviously, as you get nearer to retirement, your strategy changes. Stop being a complete idiot.
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milly
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Re: Scary times
Past performance is not indicative of future results
What would you invest in when you get closer to retirement? Gilts? Cash?
I doubt very much that very many people move their AVC's to so-called "safer"investments before they retire.
There's also no guarantee that the Shariah Fund will recover, how ever long you wait, as American Tech companies fall behind their Asian counterparts.
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yellowbelly
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Re: Scary times
You have to time the market at some point, or adjust your investments as time passes/you approach retirement as 'time in the market' for the Nikkei would have not been much good to you if you'd investments in it at the beginning of the 31 years then kicked the bucket in the middle of those 31 years.heapsy wrote: ↑13 Apr 2025, 07:20That's "time in the market"milly wrote: ↑12 Apr 2025, 18:53That's not always the case, it took the Nikkei 31 years to recover from the 1989 Japanese stockmarket bubble.heapsy wrote: ↑12 Apr 2025, 18:38Correct. As Warren Buffett says "it's time in the market, not timing the market"Hyrrokkin wrote: ↑10 Apr 2025, 18:42I am 100% in the Shariah fund (was going to transfer to HL SIPP but delayed that for a few months)
I have not looked at the fund but no doubt quite a bit down (but still well in profit) but not worried in the slightest - it is what it is and will not be retiring for years anyway.
The key is play the long game and not time the market
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milly
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Re: Scary times
I do find it interesting that people want to blame Trump for the Shariah fund going down.
He trying to reshore work for the United States, but unfortunately that ship has long since sailed.
People in the West love their cheap consumer crap produced in the 3rd world in often terrible conditions,no workers rights or health and safety regulations and also children are used as cheap labour.
It's peculiar for such a left leaning site to want the exploitation of the 3rd world to continue.
But the good news is that the west will continue to decline and the emerging markets will become more prosperous as they have all the natural resources.
He trying to reshore work for the United States, but unfortunately that ship has long since sailed.
People in the West love their cheap consumer crap produced in the 3rd world in often terrible conditions,no workers rights or health and safety regulations and also children are used as cheap labour.
It's peculiar for such a left leaning site to want the exploitation of the 3rd world to continue.
But the good news is that the west will continue to decline and the emerging markets will become more prosperous as they have all the natural resources.
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Hyrrokkin
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Re: Scary times
Now now Milly is our resident financial/economics genius guru Nostradamus Mystic Meg all rolled into one
We must all bow before The Great One
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milly
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Re: Scary times
Thanks for the accolade, but it's really not rocket science, more of a mathematical problem.
There's too much debt in the financial system.
It must pain you that the money loved by crackpots, namely Gold, is holding its own during this chaos
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Woody Guthrie
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Re: Scary times
It's not really about the increased consumer cost of reshoring that makes it a busted flush, it's the fact that if you build a steelworks or any manufacturing plant from scratch now the number of jobs you create is a fraction of what it was 20 years ago.milly wrote: ↑13 Apr 2025, 12:37I do find it interesting that people want to blame Trump for the Shariah fund going down.
He trying to reshore work for the United States, but unfortunately that ship has long since sailed.
People in the West love their cheap consumer crap produced in the 3rd world in often terrible conditions,no workers rights or health and safety regulations and also children are used as cheap labour.
It's peculiar for such a left leaning site to want the exploitation of the 3rd world to continue.
But the good news is that the west will continue to decline and the emerging markets will become more prosperous as they have all the natural resources.
That's the lie behind Trump's rhetoric about bringing jobs back to the USA, nobody from Apple to Ford is going to invest in labour, they'll invest in the plant and the robots and AI that will run it but apart from a few tech guys, some maintenance engineers and a couple of cleaners there won't be any jobs in it once it's built.
Only dead fish follow the current
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Hyrrokkin
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Re: Scary times
Hmmm no pain at all but thanks anywaymilly wrote: ↑13 Apr 2025, 17:14Thanks for the accolade, but it's really not rocket science, more of a mathematical problem.
There's too much debt in the financial system.
It must pain you that the money loved by crackpots, namely Gold, is holding its own during this chaos.
As for chaos - something else will come along to unsettle the markets - again and again and etc etc.
As always leave the last word to you Milly