Alex Brummer, Daily Mail, 17th Dec:
These deals aren’t worth the paper they’re written on
I’ve news for the naive ministers who’ve sold off the Royal Mail to a shadowy foreign predator known as the Czech Sphinx...
Daily Mail17 Dec 2024 by Alex Brummer City Editor
TIS the season to be jolly but the Royal Mail doesn’t half make it difficult to bring a smile to one’s lips at this time of year.
The never-ending queues at Post Offices to send parcels to kith and kin, the exorbitant price of a first-class stamp – £1.65! – and the nervous waits at home for online gift deliveries that probably won’t arrive on time are calculated to send anyone’s blood pressure soaring.
And so you could be forgiven for assuming that I would be all in favour of the nation’s privatised postal delivery service being sold to a foreign billionaire.
But the news that the Government has given the green light to a £3.6billion bid for Royal Mail by a ruthless Czech tycoon called Daniel Kretinsky fills me with dread.
It is ludicrous to suggest that lower prices and better services will be the result of handing the command of this great British institution – established during the reign of Henry VIII – to a man so shadowy he is known as ‘the Czech Sphinx’.
Debt
The reverse will be the case because, in order to buy International Distribution Services (IDS) – the publicly listed owner of the Royal Mail – Kretinsky, his backers and a consortium of foreign banks will overload the company with a debt mountain.
And we don’t have to look very far to see how disastrous such loan-fuelled takeovers of public services have proved for British consumers.
Thames Water, which pours sewage into the nation’s most famous river on a daily basis, has been all but destroyed by rapacious foreign investors who loaded it up with £16billion of debt as they simultaneously creamed off tens of millions of pounds in dividends and directors’ fees.
In the same way, overseas ownership of many of the rail franchises is among the reasons why Keir Starmer’s deeply underwhelming Government has decided to take train services back into public ownership as their companies’ contracts expire, with a Bill to create Great British Railways.
I am all the more disappointed because I have long campaigned against the government selling off our public utilities and very best technology companies to foreign owners. And I had hoped that the National Security & Investments Act, which became law in 2021, would finally end the scandal of Britain auctioning its commercial crown jewels to the highest overseas bidder.
The new Act, modelled on the US’s robust Committee on Foreign Investment, offered the promise of a new era in which public services would be prioritised over unsuitable ownership, vital strategic interests preserved and cutting-edge technologies and patents, often the product of our tremendous research universities, saved for the nation.
After all, in America, an effort by Japan’s Nippon Steel to buy Pittsburgh-based US Steel, is currently marooned due to strategic and political concerns about the takeover, even though Tokyo is among Washington’s staunchest allies.
No such luck on this side of the pond. Yesterday, we learned that Labour’s Business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds is allowing the £3.6billion (£5.3billion including existing debt) Czech bid for Royal Mail to go ahead after Kretinsky’s consortium offered a wide range of undertakings.
These include pledges not to make cuts to the highly unionised workforce, to abide by the Universal Service Obligation (primarily next-day, first-class deliveries) and maintain a UK headquarters for five years – the blink of an eye in the Royal Mail’s 500-year history.
I have news for Reynolds. Such deals are not worth the paper they are written on. Over the past several decades we have seen foreign private equity and overseas buyers run roughshod over similar agreements.
In some cases, assets have been sold off to third parties within weeks of deals being completed, with the guts of the enterprise together with all its decision-making functions moved overseas, leaving only ‘brass plate’ headquarters in the country of origin.
The Government is trumpeting that it is retaining a ‘golden share’ which will give it control over any major governance changes. That, too, is a charade. When economic and commercial conditions change, as they do after shocks such as the pandemic, all bets are off and business owners abrogate promises made in the heat of a takeover.
Bad industrial relations are likely to be a problem too. Ever since the privatisation of Royal Mail, conducted by then Lib Dem Business Secretary Vince Cable and the Coalition government in 2012, relations between management and the principal employee group, the Communication Workers Union (CWU), have been fraught.
Postal volumes had plunged following the introduction of email and text messaging but the CWU staunchly resisted job cuts and any form of modernisation, such as mechanical sorting, that might have an impact on workforce numbers.
Paymasters
And it looks like Labour insisted on maintaining that deeply inefficient status quo for the workers in return for giving the deal the go-ahead.
We have seen from almost the first days of Labour’s return to Downing Street how susceptible the Government is to demands from its union paymasters.
One of its first acts was to dish out £9.4billion of above-inflation pay settlements to public sector unions and the railway workers without being given any assurances on productivity improvements. In the course of the acquisition process, Kretinsky has had talks with the CWU and bought their support with promises of no redundancies, no watering down of union rights and regular above inflation pay increases. It is the kind of ‘peace’ deal which Reynolds and Labour couldn’t fail to find attractive.
However, such extravagant promises will come at the cost of future investment. To buy the Royal Mail, the Kretinsky consortium is to take on £3billion of extra debt, largely from overseas banks such as France’s BNP Paribas.
That will lift the company’s overall debt burden to more than £5billion. This means that large amounts of cash paid by ordinary Britons for postage stamps and delivery services will leave the Royal Mail by the back door to feed its voracious creditors instead of being invested in improved services.
Barriers
Highly indebted takeovers of supermarket groups, such as Morrisons and Asda, have seen them struggling ever since because of colossal interest rate bills. This has allowed rivals such as Tesco, Sainsbury’s and the German-owned Lidl and Aldi to advance at their expense.
An infinitely better solution in the case of Royal Mail would surely be for the board of its parent company IDS to deal with its underlying problems by bringing in fresh, more able executives, harness the benefits offered by AI and new technology and tackle the union barriers to reform.
Instead, the government has opted for the easy option of letting it fall into overseas hands.
There can be no greater betrayal of a totemic British company, one that is the custodian of postage stamps bearing the King’s head and of bright red pillar boxes adorned with the royal ciphers, and the employer of indefatigable posties who can be relied upon to pound the streets and trudge up our garden paths whatever the weather.